Trading the Nasdaq-100 Returns by Year
| Year | Cyclical Trend Signal | Short Term Signal | NASDAQ 100 Index |
|---|---|---|---|
1999 |
104.2% |
53.6% |
99.9% |
2000 |
24.1% |
12.6% |
-36.8% |
2001 |
18.5% |
20.0% |
-32.7% |
2002 |
11.6% |
17.3% |
-37.6% |
| 2003 |
39.1% |
33.3% |
49.1% |
| 2004 |
10.4% |
21.8% |
10.4% |
| 2005 |
1.5% |
-4.6% |
1.5% |
2006 |
6.8% |
22.5% |
6.8% |
2007 |
14.2% |
15.7% |
18.7% |
2008 |
44.6% |
-10.2% |
-42.7% |
2009 |
20.6% |
34.8% |
56.5% |
Statistics (since 12/31/98)*
Cyclical Trend Signal (Long and Short)
Trades: .45 / yr
Winning Trades: 100%
Total Gain: +1009%
Compound Annual Rate: +24.4%
Short Term Signal (Long and Cash)
Trades: (16/yr)
Winning Trades: 69%
Total Gain: +547%
Compound Annual Rate: +18.5%
NASDAQ 100 (Buy and Hold)
Total Gain: 3.8%
Compound Annual Rate: 0.34%
* Note. The trades are the next day opening price after a signal is issued. No interest is added when in cash and no trading costs are included. The Cyclical Trend Signal is traded long and short. The Short Term Signal is traded long and cash.